The first thing you need to know about baccarat strategy is that baccarat is not a game of skill but of luck. After you've placed a bet on either the banker, the player, or a tie, the game is out of your control. Unlike other casino games such as Blackjack Online, you can't make decisions that affect the outcome during the hands. Players simply choose a side and watch as the action unfolds. If you're new to the game, we recommend that you study the rules of Baccarat first in order to understand why you will lose or win particular bets, and to have some sense about the gameplay that unfolds.
If you are new to the game of Baccarat then take a look at this basic guide to help you get started.
As with so many gambling games, Baccarat is primarily a game of luck and nothing you can do will completely overcome this and guarantee that you will always win. However, if you fully understand the rules, the odds and the probabilities of how the game will unfold, then you can improve your chances.
Basic Baccarat Tips 1: Make Sure You Understand the Baccarat Rules
In order to begin putting together a winning Baccarat strategy it is absolutely essential that you completely understand the rules of the game. Luckily the rules of Baccarat are fairly straight forward and can be summarised as follows:
There are three bets you can place, on the Player's hand, the Banker's Hand or a Tie. If you place a bet that matches the outcome of a hand then you win.
To start a round the Player and the Banker are each dealt two cards. On occasion one or both of them will then receive a third card.
The Player and the Banker cannot decide if they want a third card. The decision is made according to the strict rules of the game. If you are playing Baccarat online then the software will automatically deal you a third card when it is necessary.
Face cards and tens count as zero, aces are worth one and all the other cards are worth their face values.
When you add up the values of the cards in a Baccarat hand you only pay attention to the final digit. For example, 14 counts as 4 and 19 counts as 9. The hand that comes closest to a total of 9 wins the round.
Basic Baccarat Tips 2: Betting on the Banker vs the Player
There are advantages and disadvantages to betting on both the Banker and the Player in Baccarat. The advantage of betting on the Banker is that according to the game's statistics the Banker hand will win slightly more than the Player's hand does. This may be puzzling as the cards are dealt randomly, but it has to do with the rules determining if a third card is dealt.
The rules that deal with the third card are very complicated but there is an explanation for them in the casino software. The rule relating to the Banker is not the same as the rule relating to Player. The Banker's rule involves factoring the Banker's initial cards, whether the Player has received a third card and if so, what that third card is. It is because of all of this that the Banker has a slight statistical advantage and this means that in the long run, the Banker is likely to win more hands than the Player wins.
However, there are advantages to betting on the Player. The main one being that if you win you get to keep all of our winnings. If you bet £20 on the Player and win then you will receive your bet back and an extra £20. However, in most games of Baccarat, if you bet on the Banker and you win you will have to pay a five percent commission on your winnings to the house. That means that you would get back just £19. Therefore, a winning bet on the Player results in more winnings than a winning bet on the Banker.
The decision is ultimately up to you. You can choose to bet on the Banker and win a little less, a little more often or you can bet on the Player and win less often but not have to pay any commission. The different advantages and disadvantages pretty much cancel each other out but those who follow statistics will probably prefer to bet on the Banker.
Basic Baccarat Tips 3: Betting on a Tie
As with the Player and Banker bets, there are also distinct advantages and disadvantages to betting on a Tie. The major advantage is the much larger payout. Most Baccarat games payout 8 to 1 for a tie. This means that if you bet £20 on a Tie and win then you will receive your £20 back and an extra £160.
The major drawback to the Tie bet is that according to the statistics less than 10 percent of hands in Baccarat will result in a tie. That means that if you are betting on a Tie for one hundred hands, according to the statistics you will lose ninety of them and win ten. Sticking with the £20 bets this means that you would lose £1,800 and win £1,600, leaving you down £200 for the session.
Of course, the reality rarely works out as smoothly as the statistics would suggest. You could play the same hundred hands and win 90 Tie bets. Many players place the Tie bet and get lucky. However, in the long run, the statistics will play out and the Tie hand will lose around 90 percent of the time. As a result, it is not a good idea to only place the Tie bet, but if you manage your bankroll carefully there is nothing wrong with the occasional punt on it.
Basic Baccarat Tips 4: Know the Baccarat Bets and Odds
The minimum bets at the mini-baccarat table are normally around $25, and at the larger table approximately $100. These minimum bets become a lot higher at the table in the exclusive area in the larger casinos. Although there are some bets with a ridiculously low house edge, you could potentially lose a lot quite quickly because of the slightly higher than average minimum betting amount. Comprehending the odds will help minimize the losses.
You can choose from one of three bets: betting on the banker, player, or a tie between the two. The most important baccarat odds to understand surround the tie bet. While 8-to-1 seems tempting, the reality is that the true odds of a tie are much longer than this, and this bet has a house edge of over 14 percent. It is not recommended to bet on the tie, but if you're having a good time, feeling relaxed and looking to add some thrill to the game then take your chances on this bet and go ahead! Try not to make a habit of it as you'll end up losing all your cash.
The odds of the banker winning are a little better than of the player winning, because the banker's hand is determined after the player's hand. In other words, the banker knows what he has to beat before deciding whether to draw a card. However, a player who wins a banker bet must pay a five percent commission to the house and this evens the odds out a bit.
Even with the five percent commission, the baccarat house edge on banker bets is 1.17 percent as opposed to 1.36 percent on player bets. This means there is really no reason to ever bet on the player other than the enjoyment of "betting on your hand."
Basic Baccarat Tips 5: Count Your Cards & Keep Score Baccarat Strategy
Many players use the sheets provided to track the wins and losses of player vs. banker and try to bet on "trends." The reality is that in the long term odds have little effect on short term results.
Furthermore, the banker will beat the player a little more than half the time even if the banker has won the last ten or 20 hands in a row. However, it's up to you to try it out and see if you prefer playing by using this popular method or not.
But as we said before, baccarat is a game of chance and there's not much you can do to affect the odds as soon as a hand has started. Despite this, you can test out the baccarat card counting method and then decide for yourself whether it's useful or not.
How to Card Count in Baccarat
The purpose of a card counting baccarat strategy is to find out when it will be more favorable to bet on the player depending on the cards that have already been dealt from the shoe. There's only the tiniest of differences between the banker or the player winning the hand, so you will have plenty of opportunities to place a bet on a winning hand. In order to card count in baccarat, you need to be playing a version of the game which has a six-deck or eight-deck shoe. Contrary to what you might believe, you don't have to me a mathematical genius as the counting is easy in small numbers. The counting rules are as follows:
- Count 1 for Aces, Twos and Threes
- For every ace, two or three that is dealt from the shoe, you'll need to count 1.
- Count 2 for every four dealt from the shoe.
- Count minus 1 when a five, seven, or eight are dealt from the shoe.
- Count minus 2 when a six is dealt from the show.
- Count 0 when every King, Queen, Jack, Ten and Nine is dealt from the show.
You keep counting as long as the game is from a single shoe for the count. The higher the number the count is, your odds of winning a player bet become higher and higher. Once you hit count 16, it's better to place your wager on the player than the banker, when it's lower, than 16 then keep betting on the banker. Tie bets are too risky to place at all unless that's what you are after. Once a new shoe is used, then you need to start counting again.
The theory behind using card counting in your betting strategy is that the house edge will depend on the cards left in the shoe. When there are less fives, sixes and eights the house edge will be in favor of the player, and similarly when there are less aces, twos, threes and fours in the shoe then the house edge will favor the banker instead of the player. By monitoring which cards are no longer in the shoe and which ones remain you can make a decision over which bet will be more likely than the other.